Market Commentary: Friday 18th September

Wall Street’s rally carried into Asia as falling oil prices eased inflation concerns and supported stocks and bonds. Meanwhile, the yen weakened after the Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 1.25%.

 

 

Market Summary

Wall Street Rally Carries Into Asia as Oil Prices Fall: Wall Street’s rally carried into Asian trading as another decline in oil prices boosted optimism that inflationary pressures could ease. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.8% after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 posted their strongest sessions since early August, while Asian chipmakers rallied following a bullish outlook from Nvidia. S&P 500 futures were up around 0.3% this morning.

BOJ Hikes Rates as Yen Weakens: The Japanese yen weakened after the Bank of Japan raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to 1.25%. The yen fell around 0.8% to approximately 157.20 per dollar as investors turned their attention to Governor Kazuo Ueda’s press conference for clues about the future pace of tightening.

Lower Oil Prices Ease Inflation Concerns: Brent crude fell for a third consecutive day, dropping around 1.2% to $103.50 a barrel as supply concerns eased and traders focused on renewed diplomatic efforts surrounding the US-Iran conflict. Lower energy prices could reduce pressure on consumer prices and give central banks more room to assess the impact of tighter monetary policy, supporting both stocks and bonds. However, the outlook for oil remains uncertain given geopolitical risks and the potential for further changes in energy supplies.

Treasuries Hold Gains as Yields Ease: US Treasuries largely held their gains from Thursday, when falling oil prices helped push the 10-year Treasury yield down by around nine basis points to 4.93%. The yield remained near that level during Asian trading after briefly rising above 5% following the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. Australian and New Zealand government bonds also gained, tracking the move in Treasuries.

Gold Extends Rally: Gold continued to climb after gaining almost 2% on Thursday, with spot gold rising around 0.7% to $4,371.55 an ounce. The move leaves gold close to recovering the losses recorded during the previous three sessions as investors continue to navigate shifting expectations for monetary policy and elevated geopolitical risks.

Economic Calendar

  • BOJ Governor Ueda Press Conference: 7:30 am UK time
  • Triple Witching

Key Market Moves Today

  • S&P 500 Futures: +0.34% (7,735)
  • Brent Crude: -2.36% ($102.35)
  • Spot Gold: +1.19% ($4,394)
  • Bitcoin: +1.20% ($77,433)
  • USD/JPY: +0.80% (157.20)
  • US 10-Year Yield: 4.93%
  • MSCI Asia Pacific: +0.80%
  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: +0.30%

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