Market Commentary: Monday 12th January

US equity futures fell and the dollar weakened after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said threats of a criminal indictment were a consequence of the central bank’s interest-rate policies. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures moved lower as Powell said the Fed had been served grand jury subpoenas linked to renovations of its headquarters, framing the move as political retaliation tied to monetary decisions.

 

 

US equity futures fell and the dollar weakened after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said threats of a criminal indictment were a consequence of the central bank’s interest-rate policies. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures moved lower as Powell said the Fed had been served grand jury subpoenas linked to renovations of its headquarters, framing the move as political retaliation tied to monetary decisions. Haven assets benefited, with gold jumping to a fresh record and the Swiss franc strengthening, while Treasuries edged lower and yields rose modestly.

The episode marks an escalation in tensions between the Trump administration and the Fed at a time when policymakers have already signalled caution on further rate cuts. Officials have stressed the need for more data after delivering a third consecutive cut last month, and several banks have pushed expectations for additional easing into later 2026 following firmer US jobs data. The uncertainty weighed on the dollar, which weakened against most major peers, and left markets focused on the implications of political pressure on monetary policy decisions.

Asian equities were more resilient, supported by a rally in regional technology stocks and a softer dollar. The MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index rose, led by Taiwan and South Korea, while major Chinese platforms, including Alibaba and Tencent, contributed to gains. In commodities, oil extended recent gains as protests in Iran raised supply concerns, adding to haven demand already supporting precious metals.

  • S&P 500 futures: -0.5%

  • Nasdaq 100 futures: -0.8%

  • Bitcoin: +1.2% to ~91,680

  • Gold: +1.5% to ~4,577/oz

  • Brent crude: +0.3% to ~63.50/bbl

**For professional investors only** Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained in this blog is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute (and should not be construed as containing) investment advice or an investment recommendation, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Some of this information may have been provided by third-party sources and, although believed to be reliable, it has not been independently verified and its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of iSAM Securities or its directors or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this blog, and no responsibility or liability is accepted for any such information. As a result, any person acting on any information does so entirely at their own risk. iSAM Securities will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.