Market Commentary: Tuesday 3rd November

Asian equities and US technology futures fell as the chip sell-off deepened and investors turned cautious ahead of the US midterm elections. Meanwhile, Brent crude rebounded above $106 as markets assessed diplomatic efforts between the US and Iran.

 

 

Chip Sell-Off Deepens Ahead of US Midterms: Asian equities declined as the sell-off in US chipmakers deepened and investors grew cautious ahead of today’s US midterm elections. South Korea’s KOSPI fell more than 3%, with Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix both dropping over 4%. In the US, the PHLX Semiconductor Index has lost 12% across three sessions, while the Nasdaq 100 is now down 10% from its early-October peak. Apple narrowly remains the world’s most valuable listed company despite falling 2.8% in after-hours trading following disappointing earnings.

Oil Rebounds as Iran Diplomacy Remains in Focus: Brent crude rebounded 1.7% in Asian trading to $106.53 a barrel after falling around 8% yesterday on hopes of diplomatic progress with Iran. President Masoud Pezeshkian said Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei had granted his government greater authority to pursue peace talks, while President Trump signalled a willingness to allow more time for diplomacy. Gold briefly climbed towards $3,970 yesterday before retreating to around $3,910.

Yuan’s 13-Day Rally Comes to an End: The yuan declined 0.4%, ending its longest winning streak in three decades. The move followed efforts by the People’s Bank of China to cool the rally by asking banks to hold more foreign currency in reserve.

US Midterm Elections in Focus: Several closely watched Senate contests could determine control of the chamber. Current probabilities of a Democratic victory include:

  • Iowa: 53%
  • Kansas: 62%
  • Alaska, Ohio, Maine and Texas: 72%–75%

Key Market Moves Today

  • S&P 500 Futures: -0.17% (7,562)
  • Crude Oil: +1.41% ($97.84)
  • Spot Gold: -1.03% ($3,906)

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